The Break-Even Pellet Price
Pellets are a good deal only against some fuels. With a 78%-efficient pellet stove, a ton of pellets delivers about 12.8 million BTU into the house. That makes the price at which pellets tie each alternative easy to work out:
- vs propane at $2.50/gal (80% furnace): pellets win below about $437 a ton; at $3.30 propane, below $577.
- vs heating oil at $3.80/gal (85%): below about $413 a ton.
- vs electric baseboard at 18¢: below about $675 a ton — almost always.
- vs natural gas at $1.70/therm (80%) or a heat pump at 18¢: below about $270 a ton, which most buyers don't see.
That's why pellet and wood stoves are popular where homes run on propane, oil or electric heat, and rare where there's a gas line. The calculator works out these break-even prices for your own fuel prices.
Firewood: Cheapest When the Price Is Right and the Wood Is Dry
A cord of seasoned firewood holds about 20 million BTU, a little more than a ton of pellets, but most wood stoves burn it less efficiently. At $300 a cord in an EPA-certified non-catalytic stove, firewood costs about $24 per million BTU of heat, a bit cheaper than pellets at $350 a ton ($27) and far below propane ($34) or oil ($32).
Two things move that number more than the price. Wet wood: firewood that hasn't dried to about 20% moisture wastes a big share of its heat boiling off water. And the stove: EPA uses a default of 72% for certified catalytic stoves and 63% for non-catalytic ones, while old uncertified stoves can run far lower. Moving from an old stove to a certified one can cut your wood use by a fifth to a third for the same warmth.
Zone Heating Changes the Math
Most stoves heat the room they're in best and the far bedrooms least. If your stove carries the living area while a furnace or heat pump covers the rest, enter the area it really heats, or a share below 100%. The savings then come from the fuel the furnace no longer burns, which is what the "saves vs" figures show.
To see how many tons or cords to stock for winter, by house size and climate, see how many tons of pellets (or cords of wood) you need.