How Many Tons of Pellets (or Cords of Wood) Do I Need for Winter?

Ask on any wood-stove forum and you'll get answers from two tons to eight. They're all right for somebody: the amount depends on how much of the house the stove heats, how cold your winters are, and how well the house holds heat. These tables give a starting point for each, built on published heat values rather than anecdotes, so you can buy close to what you'll burn.

Tons of Pellets for a Winter

For a typical existing house with the pellet stove as the only heat source, burning premium pellets (16.4 million BTU per ton) in a stove at EPA's 78% default efficiency. A ton is 50 bags of 40 lb.

Climate1,000 sq ft1,500 sq ft2,000 sq ft2,500 sq ft3,000 sq ft
Hot
Atlanta, Dallas
0.6 t
31 bags
0.9 t
47 bags
1.3 t
63 bags
1.6 t
78 bags
1.9 t
94 bags
Mixed
Chicago, DC, Denver
1.4 t
70 bags
2.1 t
106 bags
2.8 t
141 bags
3.5 t
176 bags
4.2 t
211 bags
Cold
Boston, Hartford
2.2 t
109 bags
3.3 t
164 bags
4.4 t
219 bags
5.5 t
274 bags
6.6 t
328 bags
Very cold
Minneapolis, Buffalo
3.1 t
156 bags
4.7 t
235 bags
6.3 t
313 bags
7.8 t
391 bags
9.4 t
469 bags

So a 2,000 sq ft home in a Chicago-type climate needs about 3 tons; the same house near Boston about 4.5, and near Minneapolis about 6. If the stove shares the job with a furnace or heat pump, scale down by the share it covers: a stove that heats the living area of a 2,000 sq ft house, roughly half the load, needs about half the tons.

Buy a little over the table. Pellets keep for years if stored dry, and running short in February means paying peak prices or switching back to propane at the worst time.

Cords of Firewood for a Winter

Seasoned firewood holds about 20 million BTU per full cord (4 × 4 × 8 ft). EPA's default efficiency is 63% for certified non-catalytic stoves and 72% for catalytic ones; the smaller figure in each cell is for a catalytic stove.

Climate1,000 sq ft1,500 sq ft2,000 sq ft2,500 sq ft3,000 sq ft
Hot
Atlanta, Dallas
0.6
0.6 cat.
1.0
0.8 cat.
1.3
1.1 cat.
1.6
1.4 cat.
1.9
1.7 cat.
Mixed
Chicago, DC, Denver
1.4
1.2 cat.
2.1
1.9 cat.
2.9
2.5 cat.
3.6
3.1 cat.
4.3
3.8 cat.
Cold
Boston, Hartford
2.2
1.9 cat.
3.3
2.9 cat.
4.4
3.9 cat.
5.6
4.9 cat.
6.7
5.8 cat.
Very cold
Minneapolis, Buffalo
3.2
2.8 cat.
4.8
4.2 cat.
6.3
5.6 cat.
7.9
6.9 cat.
9.5
8.3 cat.

Three things change these numbers more than the stove does:

  • Moisture. The 20 million BTU figure is for wood dried to about 20% moisture. Green wood holds much less usable heat and burns poorly, so a cord of it goes much faster.
  • Species. Dense hardwoods like oak, hickory and sugar maple carry more heat per cord than pine, poplar or soft maple. Heat value tracks weight, and a cord of dense hardwood weighs far more than a cord of light softwood.
  • What "a cord" means. A full cord is 128 cubic feet. A face cord, rick or "truckload" is often a third of that, so check the dimensions before comparing prices.

How Many Bags of Pellets Per Day

Daily use follows the weather. For a typical existing house that needs about 3 BTU of heat per square foot for every degree the day's average falls below 65°F (the mixed-climate figure our heating calculators use), burning 40-lb bags:

Outdoor average1,500 sq ft2,000 sq ft2,500 sq ft
45°F0.4 bags
14 lb
0.5 bags
19 lb
0.6 bags
23 lb
35°F0.5 bags
21 lb
0.7 bags
28 lb
0.9 bags
35 lb
25°F0.7 bags
28 lb
0.9 bags
38 lb
1.2 bags
47 lb
15°F0.9 bags
35 lb
1.2 bags
47 lb
1.5 bags
59 lb
5°F1.1 bags
42 lb
1.4 bags
56 lb
1.8 bags
70 lb

At a 25°F day-and-night average, a stove heating 2,000 sq ft burns about a bag a day; in a 5°F cold snap, closer to a bag and a half. A drafty older house can burn noticeably more, a tight newer one less. If your stove goes through two or three bags a day in mild weather, it's either heating far more area than you think or losing heat somewhere worth fixing.

Is It Cheaper Than What You Heat With Now?

At $350 a ton, three tons of pellets is about $985 for a season. That's well below propane (about $1,230 for the same heat at $2.50 a gallon) or heating oil (about $1,160 at $3.80), but more than natural gas or a heat pump (about $765). The pellet and firewood cost calculator runs that comparison with your prices and shows the pellet price at which each fuel breaks even.

Related Calculators & Guides

Pellet & Firewood Cost Calculator → Cost to Heat a House → Propane vs Heating Oil → Heating Cost by Fuel →

Frequently Asked Questions

How many tons of pellets do I need to heat a 2,000 sq ft house?

About 3 tons (141 bags) a winter in a mixed climate like Chicago or Denver if the pellet stove is your only heat, about 4.5 tons in a cold climate like Boston and about 6 tons in a very cold one like Minneapolis. If the stove heats only part of the house, scale down by the share of heat it supplies.

How many bags of pellets does a pellet stove use per day?

For a stove heating 2,000 sq ft, roughly 0.7 bags a day at a 35°F average outdoor temperature, about one bag at 25°F and close to 1.5 bags at 5°F, using 40-lb bags. Smaller areas or tighter houses use less.

How many cords of wood do I need for winter?

For a 2,000 sq ft house heated only by an EPA-certified non-catalytic wood stove, about 3 cords in a mixed climate, 4.5 in a cold climate and 6 in a very cold one. A catalytic stove needs about 12% less. These are full cords of seasoned wood; a face cord is usually a third of a full cord.

How long does a ton of pellets last?

About 50 days at one bag a day, which is roughly what a stove heating 2,000 sq ft burns at a 25°F average outdoor temperature. In milder fall and spring weather a ton can last two to three months.