Energy Savings

How Long Will My Heating Oil or Propane Last?

Your fuel dealer predicts when you'll run out with a number called a K-factor and the weather forecast. If you're on will-call, nobody's doing that for you. This does the same arithmetic with your tank gauge, last year's usage and the temperatures you're expecting.

Days of Fuel Left

An oil float gauge shows the oil's depth, not its volume. Rounded tanks hold less per inch near the bottom, so 1/4 is well under a quarter of the gallons. We convert using the tank's shape.
Add up last year's deliveries. Ignored if you enter a K-factor below.
Degree days per gallon of heating fuel. If your dealer prints it, it's the most accurate input there is.
Average of the daily highs and lows over the next few weeks — the forecast's averages, not today's high.

Your Fuel Countdown

Your Gauge Is Showing Depth, Not Gallons

The float gauge on an oil tank rides on the surface of the oil, so its marks — F, 3/4, 1/2, 1/4 — are fractions of the tank's height. The common 275-gallon tank is an upright oval with rounded top and bottom, and the rounded bottom holds much less oil per inch than the straight middle. The result:

  • 3/4 ≈ 216 gallons
  • 1/2 ≈ 137 gallons
  • 1/4 ≈ 58 gallons — not the 69 you'd assume
  • 1/8 ≈ 22 gallons

That's why the needle seems to fall faster as it gets low: it does, per gallon burned. And "F" after a delivery usually means 240–250 gallons, not 275, because tanks are never filled to the brim. Round outdoor and underground tanks have the same effect, slightly stronger. Propane gauges are different — they're calibrated to read percent of volume directly, and propane tanks are filled to about 80% to leave room for the liquid to expand.

How Dealers Predict When You'll Run Out

Automatic-delivery customers rarely run out because the dealer tracks two numbers. Heating degree days measure how cold it's been: each day, take how far the day's average temperature falls below 65°F. A 35°F day is 30 degree days. Your K-factor is how many degree days your house gets through per gallon — worked out from the gallons in each delivery and the degree days since the one before. A house with a K-factor of 8 burns a gallon every 8 degree days, so a week averaging 35°F (210 degree days) burns about 26 gallons of heating oil.

Hot water doesn't depend on the weather, so it's handled separately as a fixed amount per day. That's why a tank still drains slowly in summer if the boiler makes your hot water. This calculator does the same: it splits your annual usage into a weather-driven part and a hot-water part, then runs both forward at the temperature you expect.

Why "Days Left" Changes So Much With the Weather

Heating fuel use tracks the gap between 65°F and the outdoor temperature, not the temperature itself. A week at 25°F has 40 degree days a day; a week at 45°F has 20. Same house, same thermostat, twice the oil. The table in your result shows how far the same tank goes at different temperatures — useful before a forecast cold snap, which is also when delivery waits are longest.

Don't Plan to Run It to Empty

  • The last few gallons aren't usable. Some fuel sits below the outlet, and the bottom of an older tank collects sludge that can clog the filter or nozzle if it gets drawn in.
  • Running dry costs more than the fuel. An oil burner that runs out often needs a service call to bleed air out of the line and restart it. A propane system that runs empty has to be leak-checked before it can be relit.
  • Deliveries slow down when it's coldest. Will-call orders pile up in a cold snap. Ordering at 1/4 (oil) or 20–30% (propane) builds in that buffer.

Whether to lock in a price before winter is a separate question — our pre-buy vs cap vs market price calculator works out the break-even. And if you're wondering how much a typical tank lasts before you have your own numbers, see how long 100 gallons of heating oil lasts.

Frequently Asked Questions

How long will 100 gallons of heating oil last?

For a typical New England home that burns about 800 gallons a year, including hot water, 100 gallons lasts roughly five weeks when the outdoor temperature averages 45°F, under four weeks at 35°F, about three weeks at 25°F and a little over two weeks at 15°F. A smaller or tighter house stretches that; a large or drafty one shortens it. The calculator works it out from your own annual usage and the temperatures you expect.

What does 1/4 on an oil tank gauge mean in gallons?

On the common 275-gallon vertical tank, 1/4 is only about 58 gallons, not 69. The float gauge measures the oil's depth, and the rounded bottom of the tank holds less oil per inch than the middle. Half is about 137 gallons and 3/4 about 216. Most dealers recommend ordering by 1/4.

What is a K-factor on my oil or propane delivery ticket?

It is the number of heating degree days it takes your home to burn one gallon. Dealers calculate it from the gallons delivered and the degree days since the previous delivery, then use it to schedule automatic deliveries. A higher K-factor means a more efficient or smaller house. Divide the degree days in a forecast by your K-factor to estimate how many gallons that weather will burn.

When should I order heating oil or propane?

Most dealers suggest ordering heating oil when the gauge reaches 1/4, and many propane suppliers ask will-call customers to order at 20 to 30 percent. Delivery can take several days in a cold snap, when everyone orders at once, and running a tank dry can mean a service call to restart the burner and bleed the fuel line.