How This Calculator Works
Solar savings come from two completely different sources, and most calculators blur them together. This one separates them deliberately, because the split is what determines whether a change in net metering policy hurts you a lot or barely at all.
Self-consumed power is electricity your panels produce that your home uses immediately. It never touches the export meter. Every kWh in this bucket offsets a kWh you would otherwise have bought at full retail rate — so it's worth your retail rate, and no net metering policy change can reduce that value.
Exported power is the surplus that flows to the grid. This is the only portion your utility's export policy governs, and it's where full retail net metering and net billing diverge sharply.
The calculator multiplies each bucket by its own rate and adds them together. It uses annual totals rather than hour-by-hour modeling, which keeps the inputs simple while still showing the structural point clearly.
Why Self-Consumption Share Matters More Than the Policy
Run the calculator twice — once at 30% self-consumption and once at 80% — and the difference between full retail net metering and net billing shrinks dramatically at the higher figure. That's the whole story of solar economics under modern export rules.
If you export most of your production, your savings are highly exposed to whatever your utility decides to pay for exports. If you consume most of it as you generate it, your savings are anchored to the retail rate you're avoiding, and export policy becomes a secondary concern.
This is why battery storage changed from a backup-power purchase to a financial one in net billing states. A battery doesn't create energy; it moves your production from the export bucket to the self-consumption bucket. The value of that shift is roughly the gap between your retail rate and your export rate, for every kWh moved.
What This Calculator Doesn't Model
Deliberately kept out of scope so the core comparison stays readable and honest:
- Time-of-use rates. Many solar households are on TOU tariffs where both the retail rate and the export credit vary by hour and season. TOU generally improves battery economics beyond what's shown here.
- Non-bypassable charges and fixed fees. Most utilities levy per-kWh charges or monthly connection fees that solar cannot offset. Your bill will not reach zero even if your production exceeds your consumption.
- True-up and credit rollover rules. Some utilities roll unused credits forward indefinitely; others zero them out annually, sometimes without cash payout for a surplus.
- Rate escalation and panel degradation. This is a snapshot of year one. Over 25 years, rising retail rates tend to increase savings while panel output declines roughly 0.5%/year.
For the full lifetime picture including system cost and payback period, use our solar panel ROI calculator alongside this one.
Checking Your Own Utility's Policy
The export rate is the single number most worth verifying before you sign a solar contract, and it's the one most often glossed over in sales presentations. Three places to confirm it:
- Your utility's residential rate sheet, usually filed publicly and searchable for terms like "net metering," "net billing," "excess generation credit," or "avoided cost."
- Your state public utility commission, which approves these tariffs and posts pending changes. Worth checking for open proceedings that could change your terms.
- The solar bid itself. Ask the installer in writing what export rate their savings estimate assumes. If the number they used is higher than your utility's published rate, the entire savings projection is inflated.
Also ask about grandfathering. Many states lock customers onto the policy in effect at interconnection, often for 20 years — which means the date your system goes live can be worth thousands of dollars.